This is an Assignment for POL 820 Public Policy : Theory & Application. Master of Politics & Public Policy Macquarie University.
by : Andri Rusta
Preamble
This essay discusses the role of government as indicated by Kevin Rudd MP, the current Prime Minister of Australia, in an essay that appeared in February 2009 edition of The Monthly. Rudd argues that the shortcoming of the neo-liberalist economic approach has resulted in the current global financial markets. He argues that governments must take on interventionist role in financial markets to restore properly-regulated markets and to rebuild national and international demand. He warns against the notion of the all-providing state and the abandonment of the open competitive market.
Rudd’s remedies of regulation of world financial markets to overcome the current global financial crisis seem to be cumulative rather than innovative. These remedies seem to build based on the lengthy Australian experience of government oversight of the Australian financial system. Since colonial times, Australian governments have regulated local financial businesses, particularly banks, one way or another. For this reason, this essay has a brief history of how Australian governments have intervened in the operations of local financial institutions.
Background
Rudd’s essay is an extension of the views he expressed in his maiden speech on 11 November 1998 in the House of Representatives, updated to take into the current global financial crisis. In this speech, he said “I believe unapologetically in an active role for government. I believe that this activist role should have as its foremost guiding principle a commitment to equality of opportunity that is real rather than rhetorical. It is a principle that should permeate all that we do in education and health. I also believe that governments must actively look after those who, through no fault of their own, cannot look after themselves. I believe that governments must regulate markets.”(Rudd, 1998)
This essay covers a number of areas. Rudd claims (Rudd, 2009) that neo-liberalism policies have failed because of the assumption that all stakeholders in unregulated financial-markets have access to all available information. Therefore these stakeholders are in the best position to estimate the best price for assets. If, under these circumstances, markets are fully efficient, it follows that asset-prices should not probable; however such occur, the markets will self-correct and there is no need for government intervention.
Rudd makes the point (4) that the challenge for present-day social democrats is the redevelopment of the role of the state and of social democracy as a comprehensive philosophical framework for the future. He points out that this framework will have to go beyond the economics of Keynes set out in the latter’s 1936 book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. This is because there are current-day economic issues, such as globalisation, not contemporary with Keynes’ observations. To this framework, Rudd adds that social justice is an essential part. He says (5) that social-democratic governments should continue “to encourage the market to innovate, create investment and to productivity growth within an effective regulatory framework that manages risk, corrects market failures, funds and provides public goods, and pursues social equity objectives”.
To remedy the current global financial difficulty crisis, Rudd identifies three principles (6): the effective regulation of national markets; the effective global regulation of global markets; national governments work together to deliver both. National governments must develop similar regulatory frameworks so that capital will not be directed towards nations with the weakest regulation. As well, the governance structure of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) should be reformed to reflect contemporary national economic powers. Moreover, the IMF’s prudential analysis powers should be increased as well as enhancing its early-warning system for identifying weaknesses in financial markets.
Rudd concludes (8) by saying that social democrats, through the creative use of government powers, can be effective in the current global financial crisis. The neo-liberalist philosophy is unable to respond to the crisis issues. Perhaps unconsciously echoing Bentham, government properly developed and managed is for the common good of society, taking into account individual freedoms and social justice, an activity for the many, not for the few.
Discussion
Rudd’s essay presumes that the reader is familiar with the two political philosophical concepts, “neo-liberalism” and “social democracy”. He does not define these terms but instead focuses on describing the impacts of both concepts – the former critically, the latter favourably. The essay also presumes that the reader is aware of the causes of the current global financial crisis. In that respect, the essay has a political philosophical thrust instead of an economics thesis. Rudd overlooks that even under neo-liberalist economics, the financial crisis would happen as the demand for credit exceeds the supply. Likewise Keynesian economics, as favoured by social democrats, argues that the same premise would lead to the same outcome. However, both disagree about the remedies to minimise the impact of the crisis.
The neo-liberalist approach, influenced by neoclassical economic theory, would argue that the economy would remedy itself as the demand for and the supply of credit work their way towards a new equilibrium. This approach has its foundation in what is now called a microeconomic approach where (1) People act rationally among outcomes that can be identified and associated with a value (2) Individuals maximses satisfaction and businesses maximise profits (3) all buyers and sellers act independently on the basis of full and relevant information (Starr, 1997). A public-sector role in influencing the selling or buyer the credit, both by regulation or by active market participation, will distort the market and lead to productivity distortions. This approach is silent about what length of time is required for a dis-equilibrium market to return to equilibrium in supply and demand. This is understandable as each dis-equilibrium market has its own peculiar dynamics in supply and demand.
The social democratic approach, using Keynesian economic theory, argues a top-down approach to market dis-equilibrium. This approach (Binder, 2008) argues that active public-sector decisions by public sector. Including monetary policies by a national central bank and government fiscal policies, are required. The decisions of individuals and businesses can lead to outcomes where the economy operates below its potential output and growth. During economic downturns, demand may be less than supply leading to high unemployment and the lost of productivity. In some situations, there is no automatic mechanism to return to the former levels of output and employment. Keynes argued that the solution was for national governments to develop policies to stimulate demand by reducing interest rates and government investment in infrastructure. This investment would compound leading to an increase economic activity and reducing employment. It should mentioned that Keynes indicated that once the former levels of unemployment and productivity have been achieved, the public sector should withdraw from this degree of participation.
Cameron (Cameron, 2004)) argues that the ALP governments of both Hawke and Paul Keating governments pursued economic neo-liberalist policies that stressed competition, the privatisation of government businesses (for example QANTAS, the Commonwealth Bank, the Defence Service Homes mortgage portfolio), the reform of national financial markets, floating of the currency, and reductions in trade protection. But this claim overlooks that both governments carried ideological “baggage” over from the time of the Whitlam ALP government. During that government’s term of office, there had been an economic decline characterised by adverse balance-of-payments figures and high unemployment, inflation and bank interest rates.
The Hawke and Paul Keating governments had to demonstrate their economic and financial acumen to the electorate and to the business community at-large. In that respect, to say that these government abandoned the ALP’s social democracy platforms is to overlook that these governments faced difficult financial circumstances. The overriding issue was the collapse in Australia’s balance of payments and the rise in its foreign debt (Kelly, 2008). The problem was that strong domestic economic growth was encouraging a level of imports which Australia was unable to finance through its exports. Australia was importing more that it was exporting. As well, external borrowings had been going towards local consumption and not towards capital development. If this situation continued, the standard of living for Australians would be reduced. These governments tackled this problem by freeing up the financial markets, by an apparent reduction in labour costs and by balancing the federal budgets (203).
Focus on the pursuit of neo-liberalist economic policies has overshadowed these governments’ social justice achievements. Social justice is not found in the neo-liberalist philosophy. However, social justice initiatives were introduced as a trade-off for the neo-liberalist economic policies. Compulsory portable superannuation as a form of future savings was introduced in lieu of a basic wage increase; it also had the advantage, as a form of future savings, of reducing the amounts required for aged pensions in the future. Industrial democracy - consultation with employees about proposed changes to the way they work - was introduced. Working hours were extended with the objective of improving productivity; the social justice trade-off was a greater holiday period over the Christmas-New Year break.
The Howard Liberal-National coalition government continued with the neo-liberalist economic policies. More government businesses were privatised notably the sale of Telstra and the taxation system was reorganised with the introduction of the goods and Services Tax. As well, there were attempts to deregulate the labour market. However what distinguishes the introduction of these neo-liberalist policies from those of the preceding governments is there were no new social justice policies. More importantly, while the Hawke and Paul Keating governments had acted out of economic necessity, the Howard government was pursuing a political economic ideology which Howard had embraced as early as the mid-1970s when he was Treasurer in the Fraser Liberal-Country coalition government. This philosophy proposes a reduction of government in the market, privatisation of government businesses, a free market economy, lower direct taxation and higher indirect taxation, and a reduction in the size of the welfare state.
In some respects, the Rudd proposal is a return to the social liberalism philosophies of the pre-Whitlam government modified by the acceptance of the way the prevailing market operates. The pre-Whitlam era political philosophies for both sides of Australian politics stemmed from John Stuart Mill (Boucher and Sharpe, 2008), a contemporary of the earlier-mentioned Bentham. Some of federal Australia’s founding fathers such as Deakin and Higgins followed these philosophies. In both colonial and federal politics, between them, these men achieved the nationalisation of water rights and state-aid for irrigation (Deakin 1886), an attempt to force businesses to pay fair wages by setting conditions for tariff protection (Deakin 1906), government investment in businesses and voting rights for women (Higgins 1894), the inclusion in the federal constitution of the guarantee of religious freedom and of the right of the new federal government to arbitrate in some industrial disputes (Higgins 1899) and the “Harvester Judgement” (Higgins 1908). The overarching rationale was that the rights of individuals could enshrine unjustifiable inequities and inhibit society’s vulnerable to develop their talents to the best of their abilities. A major role of government was the protection the vulnerable against these inequities.
Michael Keating (Keating, 2004) observes that since the first permanent European settlement, Australians have had a reliance on government. Since the various colonies achieved self-government, their electorates have looked to their democratically-elected governments to provide direction to the perceived common good. For such reasons, it should not be a surprise that the world’s first social democratic governments appeared in Australia (Queensland 1899, Commonwealth 1904). Similarly, the world’s first pro-environment parliamentary representatives would be elected in Australia (Tasmania 1983). Likewise, it should not be a surprise that Australian expect their governments to provide common-good services (for examples transportation, security, health) which the private sector will not or cannot provide.
With regards to the Rudd proposal for government involvement in Australia’ financial market, as the case study demonstrates, already this is happening. To date, it would seem that most Australians have been unaware of this level of detail. For some time, this involvement has allowed the federal government to supervise the availability of credit which, in turn, impacts on national economic activity. The financial market’s acceptance of this intervention is counter-balanced by government “protection” of the local banking industry.
The Rudd proposal that the Australian experience should be taken up globally overlooks the socio-political experiences of other nations. As Rudd warns, the failure of all nations to have similar regulated financial markets remains a threat to global finance. But some nations do not share Australians expectation that governments should interfere for the common good. For one, the United States of America has a cultural expectation of minimal government involvement in all spheres of social activity. Similarly, unlike Australia, some nations such as Indonesia have a cultural expectation that with political power comes overt political patronage that, within an industry, favour one business against another.
History – Australia’s financial system
There have been strong relationships between Australian federal governments and the national financial industry. In 1817 Governor Macquarie gave a charter (which he did not have the power to issue) to form Australia’s first bank. Macquarie identified that the thirty-year old colony required a banking business that would extend credit in order to promote the settlement’s growth. A bank would overcome concern in London over Macquarie’s expenditure on public works. As well, the new bank had authority to issue its own currency notes.
This bank soon had competition. The various colonial governments issued charters authorising the establishment of other banks. These banks took deposits (which were their liabilities) and reloaned the money by discounting bills of exchange (which became assets). The bank would issue its own currency notes using these assets as security. There was no central bank. Each colonial bank stood or fell on its own credit. As long as its assets were believed to be sound, its currency notes would be accepted. In financially favourable conditions, these banks could expand rapidly by the issue of currency notes. However, when there was financial unease, and the currency notes were presented back for the bank to honour, banks could fail if they did not have the assets to honour their issued currency notes.
In the nineteenth century, this occurred frequently. There were bank collapses in almost every decade. The climax came in 1893 after the failure of fraudulent land banks in Victoria triggered a nationwide run on colonial banks. In the space of six weeks, twelve banks closed. These banks had accounted for two-thirds of the total banking assets in Australia. This late nineteenth century crisis increased pressure for the formation of a central bank. The constitution of the newly-formed Commonwealth of Australia gave the new government powers for banking, the incorporation of banks, the issue of paper money and insurance (these powers did not extend to State banking and insurance businesses).
In 1912, the Fisher’s federal ALP government established the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). The Fisher government favoured bank nationalisation and unlike the state government-owned saving bank businesses, the CBA had both savings and trading bank business. Private-sector Australian banks continued to provide trading bank business.
From 1920, the bank on took the role of central banker to the government providing advice to the government on economic issues as well as the issue of Australian currency notes. In 1931, as a response to the Great Depression, the bank’s board refused to expand credit unless the Scullin ALP government cut pensions which the government refused to do. This led to the fall of the government, and to demands from ALP for reform of the bank and more direct government control over monetary policy.
During World War 2, the Curtin ALP government gave the CBA almost all central banking powers. In 1945, the Chifley ALP government formalised the CBA’s powers in regards to monetary and banking policy, and exchange control. These powers were used by the Chifley government to expand the Australian economy immediately after the war. Interestingly, the Menzies Liberal-Country coalition government did not interfere with these powers. The major change was that private-sector trading banks could handle saving business.
However, in 1959, the Menzies government reorganised the CBA’s central bank and bank-business responsibilities. The newly-established Reserve Bank of Australia took over the central bank and the currency-note printing responsibilities. The RBA took on the responsibility of being the banks’ bank wherein the RBA could insist that all banks under federal government oversight had to deposit a ratio of their financial deposits in currency and government-issued bonds. The RBA could adjust the ratio at any time. Under the Hawke ALP government, this banking supervision and regulation responsibility was transferred to the newly-created Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA). This is a statutory body that APRA oversees the business of the banking industry, mutual-benefit credit societies, friendly societies, the insurance and reinsurance industries as well as the superannuation industry.
As a general rule, irrespective of political complexion, all Australian governments have supported Australian-owned banks. It ensures that Australia’s banks remain in Australian ownership and easy for the government to control. Even though the Hawke government, as part of its freeing up of Australian financial markets, permitted the entry of foreign-owned banks, the extensive Australia-wide branch system of Australian-owned banks ensures that the newcomers will not be a threat to the local banks. As well, the “Four Pillars” policy, introduced by Hawke government in 1990 and endorsed by the Howard Liberal-National coalition government in 1997 is viewed as creating a competitive market between the Australian banks. As well, the Rudd ALP government recently guaranteed savings bank deposits. Australia’s four major banks are considered to be in the top eleven banks in the world with regards to credit-worthiness. As Yeates (2009, 5) observes, Australia and Canada – another nation with a highly regulated banking industry – are the only OECD nations that have not used taxpayer funds to keep their savings and trading banks afloat.
Conclusion
In his House of Representations’ maiden speech, Rudd said “We are all the product of our own experiences and the ideas with which we have been confronted….I believe unapologetically in an active role for government. I believe that this activist role should have as its foremost guiding principle a commitment to equality of opportunity that is real rather than rhetorical. It is a principle that should permeate all that we do in education and health. I also believe that governments must actively look after those who, through no fault of their own, cannot look after themselves. I believe that governments must regulate markets.” Rudd concedes that his childhood experiences have shaped his experiences (Murphy). Nevertheless he is a member of the broader Australian community which has the expectation of government involvement in the people’s day-to-day lives and in the markets.
At present Australia, like the rest of the world, is confronted with economic uncertainty as the result of the failure of global financial markets. Australians expect proactive government action to re-activate the local financial markets. A lack of credit leads to unemployment which, in turns, brings its own social ills as well as an increase in government expenditure of welfare pensions and services. Of the two economic theories discussed, neo-liberalism and Keynesian, the latter has the better record of success when applied in times of credit shortages.
To achieve credit market equilibrium, neo-liberalism economics relies on Adam Smith’s oft-misunderstood “invisible hand”. But this means that the divide between society’s haves and haves-not will be worsened as the market seeks this equilibrium. However, Keynesian economics relies on government intervention to quickly restore equilibrium leading to more production and better productivity. Such intervention is in step with Bentham’s view that government properly developed and managed is for the common good of society, taking into account individual freedoms and social justice, an activity for the many, not for the few.
References & Bibliography
BINDER, A. S. (2008) Keynesian Economics. The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics. Liberty Fund, Inc.
BOUCHER, G. & SHARPE, M. (2008) Re-founding Australia and getting it right this time. The Time Will Suit them : Postmodern conservatism in Australia. Crows Nest NSW, Allen & Unwin.
CAMERON, C. (2004) How the Federal Parliamentary Labor Party Lost Its Way. Labour History, 86.
HUGHES, O. H. (2003) The Role of Government. Public Management and Administration : An Introduction. Basingstoke, Palgrave Macmillan.
KEATING, M. (2004) Introduction: Are markets on tap or on top? Who Rules? How government retains control of a privatised economy. Sydney, Federation Press.
KELLY, P. (2008) The End of Certainty – power, politics and business in Australia, Crows Nest, N.S.W, Allen & Unwin.
MURPHY, K. (2008) Rudd Pays tribute to his hero Whitlam. Fairfax Digital.
RUDD, K. (1998) First Speech To Parliament - 11/11/1998. Canberra, House of Representatives Web Administrator.
RUDD, K. (2009) The Global Financial Crisis. The Monthly. February 2009 ed.
STARR, R. M. (1997) General equilibrium theory: an introduction, Cambridge University Press.
SYKES, T. (1998) Australia`s banking history. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
YEATES, C. (2009) Why the Four Pillars’ flaws are strengths. The Sydney Morning Herald Weekend Business. Sydney.
